Alpha Hunter

Live Games

Quant Driven Result

Edge Guide

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Games

Total live games being tracked

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Divergences

Games with SUS vs UNSUS divergence — signal trigger

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Active Bets

Daemon bets currently in play

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Tonight P/L

Profit/loss from tonight's resolved bets

Live Game Monitor

Waiting for games

Click "Refresh Now" or start auto-refresh to load live games.

Teams 50%+ 3PT

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Teams 45-50%

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Qtr Alerts

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3-Point Shooting Tracker - LiveAlert: 50%+ on 8+ att

3PT tracking populates when live games run.

Quarter-End Alerts

Time	Team	Qtr	3PT%	Made/Att	Game	Action
No quarter-end alerts yet.

Star Player Database (21+ PPG)Signal: <65% of expected pace

Players tracked automatically in live games. Signal fires when scoring falls below 65% of expected pace. Tracks Q1 and halftime pace separately.

Player	Team	PPG	Q1 Exp	Half Exp	Signal (<65%)

Player Name

Team

PPG

Live Star Status

Player	Game	Pts	Q1 Pace	Half Pace	Overall %	Period	Signal
Star stats populate when live games are running.

Position Sizing

Kelly criterion-based bet sizing. Conservative by default -- capped at 5% max per bet.

Settings

Bankroll

Kelly Fraction

Edge Estimate

Sizing Rules

Max bet: 5% of bankroll
Min bet: 0.5% (if edge exists)
Edge scales with signal count
Probability capped at 90%

Kelly Formula

          f* = (b x p - q) / b

          b = decimal odds - 1

          p = market prob + estimated edge

          q = 1 - p

          Bet = Bankroll x f* x Fraction

How edge is estimated

Base edge depends on your mode setting. Each additional signal on the same game adds +1% edge (up to +3%). More signals = higher confidence = larger position.

Active Recommendations

Refresh games to see Kelly-sized recommendations

Bet Tracker

Auto-logged when signals fire. Results auto-resolved from ESPN final scores.

Record

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No bets yet

Total P/L

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ROI

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Brier Score

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Calibration (lower = better)

Data from daemon

Signal History

Auto-logs every signal fired during live games. Results resolved from ESPN final scores.

Signal Log

No signals recorded yet

Auto-logs every signal. Open during live games to start tracking.

Historical Backtest

Replay past games through the signal detection engine. Validates strategy against historical ESPN data with $200 flat bets at -110.

to

No historical backtest results yet. Configure dates above and click Run.

Signal Backtest Tracker

Auto-tracks every signalLevel=2 recommendation. Results resolved from ESPN final scores. Kelly-sized bets on $20K bankroll with estimated 5-12% edge.

Signals auto-tracked when combined signals fire during live games

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Edge Guide

Proprietary live game analysis model. Each team receives a sustainability classification based on multiple real-time factors. Signals fire when divergence thresholds are met.